Development of a 5-Year Risk Prediction Model for Transition From Prediabetes to Diabetes Using Machine Learning: Retrospective Cohort Study

Yongsheng Zhang   ^{1, 2 *} , MD ;   Hongyu Zhang   ^{1, 2 *} , MD ;   Dawei Wang   ^{1, 2 *} , MD ;   Na Li   ³ , MSc ;   Haoyue Lv   ⁴ , MSc ;   Guang Zhang   ^{1, 2} , MD

¹ Department of Health Management, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University & Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Jinan, China

² Shandong Engineering Research Center of Health Management, Shandong Institute of Health Management, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University & Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Jinan, China

³ Department of Occupational Health, Shizhong District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, China

⁴ Postgraduate Department, Shandong First Medical University, Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, China

*these authors contributed equally