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Age-Stratified Infection Probabilities Combined With a Quarantine-Modified Model for COVID-19 Needs Assessments: Model Development Study

Age-Stratified Infection Probabilities Combined With a Quarantine-Modified Model for COVID-19 Needs Assessments: Model Development Study

Classic compartmental models like the susceptible-exposed-infectious-removed (SEIR) model all assume a homogenous population, and that everyone has equal chances of getting infected. The SEIR model is initialized by “dividing” the population into four compartments; people “progress” through being susceptible, to getting exposed, to being infectious, to getting removed, either via recovery with permanent immunity or death.

Vena Pearl Bongolan, Jose Marie Antonio Minoza, Romulo de Castro, Jesus Emmanuel Sevilleja

J Med Internet Res 2021;23(5):e19544